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Weekend Box Office Report July 30-Aug 1

August 2, 2010 Leave a comment

The weekend was full of little surprises, as I said last week it was a weekend where either Dinner for Schmucks would pull up with a win somewhere between 30 and 40 or Inception would pull in with the same amount.   Dinner didn’t quite pull in thirty but it did pull in almost twenty-five million, so lets look at the week and see how things went.

Not too surprisingly but in its third weekend of release Inception has once again dominated the box office though it wasn’t a run away success that it was in its first two weeks of release.   Inception has proven for the third weekend in a row that people want something fresh and different at the box office.   The success story that is Christopher Nolan’s masterpiece which no one thought would do much at the box office has managed to prove this fact pulling in another 27.5 million bringing its three weekend total up to nearly 200 million.    In at second place the new release Dinner for Schmucks starring Steve Carell and Paul Rudd managed to pull in 23 million (it might pull in a little more or less with final estimates if it’s a big change I will update this).   The comedy did really well for its first weekend coming in at second place.

In third this week the Angelina Jolie starring movie Salt managed to get some positive buzz and stay in the top three with another 19.2 million, the film about a government agent who is accused of being a spy will end up reaching close to its budget but probably not much more than that.   In at fourth place Despicable Me continues to have a strong showing, and Steve Carell does indeed have two movies in the top five this week, but probably only for this week.   The family film has been one of the strongest family movies of the summer only falling behind Toy Story 3 in that department, when its finished at the box office I think it has a real chance of pulling in more than Shrek and that’s impressive which is why I think Universal has already greenlit a sequel to the film.

In fifth, and surprising me Cat’s and Dogs: The Revenge of Kitty Galore managed to pull in 12.5 million, does anyone else beside me think that this is because the movie was primarily released and promoted in 3-D and thus the tickets cost more.   Every week that goes by Toy Story 3 gets less and less 3-d screens and that is so that new 3-d movies like Cats and Dogs can take those screens.   The movie if it had been released in 2-d only would probably have managed just barely to pull in 6 or 8 million…so once again thanks to 3-d it managed a stronger showing.   In at sixth the romantic drama Charlie St. Cloud came out with 12.1 million, the movie stars the heart-throb Zach Efron and this is probably the thing that has attracted young women and girls to go see the movie and help it have such a strong opening for its first weekend.

Rounding out the top ten we come to Toy Story 3 which added another 5 million to it’s already staggering total bringing it up to 389.6 million which brings it ever closer to 400 million at the box office which it will manage to do in a few more weekends if not sooner.   In at number eight this weekend was Grown Ups which has finally started to fade away and will be out of the top ten next weekend though it did managed to pull in another 4.5 million and has now made a 150 million at the box office.   AT number nine The Sorcerer’s Apprentice continues to fade it has just barely made 50 million at the box office and is still missing another 100 million to make back its budget, that’s not going to happen.  At number ten and closing out the top ten was Twilight Saga: Eclipse the movie faded almost as quickly as Sorcerer’s Apprentice but it managed before its fade to bring in nearly 300 million at the box office.

Next Week will be interesting to see what happens, it’s really all touch and go at this point.  Can Inception pull off a four weekend in a row dominance or will people be going to the theater to see something else?   The past weekend was a comedy release weekend along with some family films, this coming up weekend we will see another big comedy coming out The Other Guys stars Mark Whalberg and Will Farrell as two cops who are envious of the other cops, the more famous and well put together cops.    It’s a comedy that looks to have some really funny moments in it, but its hard to say if it will really pull in a lot of money or not.  The other new wide release Step Up 3-D is coming out as well, does anyone really think this movie will make any money at all?   I am betting it won’t really make a dent, but I’ve been wrong before.   Here is how I think the top five will round out:

  1. The Other Guys-25 to 30 million
  2. Inception- 15 to 20 million
  3. Dinner for Schmucks– 10 to 15 million
  4. Step Up 3-D– 5 to 10 million
  5. Salt– 5 to 10 million

What I want to know is who do you think will dominate this weekend?  Do you think people are going to go out in droves to see the new Step up movie?   Let me know:

Weekend Box Office Report July 23-25

The weekend has come and gone and little surprise on what happened.  Sorry the report is late going up, got caught up in other things.   This week was the release of two movies, a family movie: Romona and Beezus along with the action film Salt starring Angelina Jolie, neither of them managed to put a dent in the Christopher Nolan movie Inception.   This week was all Inception along with a little bit of news about what the next Batman movie could be about.   Inception is a monster film of the summer, already it has dominated the box office two weekends in a row and has proven that Nolan is a really good director and at the fore-front of directors right now.  After he’s done with the next batman movie I wouldn’t be surprised if a lot of Hollywood studios don’t start knocking down his door wanting to produce his films.

Inception came in at number one with another 43.5 million for the weekend dropping only 30%  from the weekend before, proving that people are hungry for original good properties over remakes or movies based on other properties.  Inception has made a 143 million and will make over 200 million by the time that it runs out of the box office.   The movie is a strong film as my review shows and it will continue to do well at the theater through the rest of the summer season.   In second place with 36.5 million was the Angelina Jolie movie Salt which is an action film about an agent for the United States government who is accused of being a spy and has to go on the run.  The movie cost about a 110 million to make and it will make it back during its run but it won’t be quick.   For me Salt is one of those films that you see on DVD not in the theaters.

In at third retaining a strong presence is Despicable Me.   Steve Carell knows how to pick movies and this one proves it as well as the other movies that he has done.  Look at his last film: Date Night with Tina Fey, that one did far better than anyone thought it would do at the theaters.   Despicable Me is a really good family comedy along the lines of Toy Story 3.  It managed to pull in 24.1 million over the weekend bringing its three weekend total to 161 million almost making a 100 million more than its budget.   Coming in at number four is the Disney movie: The Sorcerer’s Apprentice starring Nicolas Cage.    This is the third movie from Bruckheiemer for Disney that has shown his magic has worn off and no one is really going to see his Disney produced big action films that appear to be nothing but knock offs of other movies.  The movie has little hope of making back its budget while in the theater.

IN at number five retaining its top five status is the Pixar movie: Toy Story 3 which has now pulled in 380 million and will probably pull in over 400 million or close to it.  Toy Story 3 is the biggest success in Pixar’s history and they will not be repeating it next year with the second Cars movie which I am still not sure about a sequel at all.  In at number six the new release Ramona and Beezus starring Selma Gomez and the new comer Joey King.   The film looks light-hearted and funny for families and is on my list to see once it comes out on DVD.  It managed to pull in 8 million and only cost 15 million to make so it’s not like Fox is loosing money on this one.

Rounding out the top ten was Grown Ups in at number seven with another 7.6 million bringing its five weekend total up to 142 million proving that Adam Sandler and his group of friends can still make comedies that people want to go and see and will go and see.   AT number eight Twilight Saga: Eclipse made 7 million and has quickly fallen off of the top five list and has not retained anywhere near the audience that other movies that have been out longer than it have managed.  Then again the movie has made nearly 300 million, but I can be hopeful that the whole series is waining on people can’t I?

In at number nine The Last Airbender has faded faster than even Twilight only pulling in 4.1 million and still has not managed to make back its budget at the domestic box office.   The movie is a flop but the studio and the director won’t admit it. In fact M. Night still claims that he is going to make two more movies in the series even though this one was not received well by fans or critics.   IN at number ten Predators came in with another 2.8 million and has pulled in over 45 million at the box office.  Predators is an action horror film and thus no one not even the studio expected it to be a 100 million dollar box office opening film.   It is hard to say if it will get a second film or not though judging by how quickly the film has faded at the box office compared to other releases that came out in the same month.

Next Week we will see the release of three movies and just by judging from their trailers and how little one of them has been promoted at the theaters and on the television I can tell you how I think the weekend will go.   Up first coming out is Cats and Dogs: The Revenged of Kitty Galore which is the sequel to a mildly medium first film and is also in 3-D. There are a lot of other family films in the theater this week and they will be making the money more than this one will in my opinion.   Also coming out is the movie Charlie St. Cloud which is a romantic drama film that has been promoted zero times on television (unless they are promoting it on Lifetime or a network that I don’t watch).   The movie will make even less money than Cats and Dogs I do believe.   Lastly coming out: Dinner for Schumucks the movie stars Paul Rudd and Steve Carell and looks very funny to the point that I think it will bring in the audience.   Here is how I think the weekend will stack up:

  1. Dinner for Schmucks- 30 to 40 million
  2. Inception- 25 to 30 million  (these two could flip around it is possible)
  3. Despicable Me– 15 to 20 million
  4. Toy Story 3– 9 to 15 million
  5. Cats and Dogs: The Revenge of Kitty Galore– 5 to 8 million

Its going to be a slow weekend at the theaters and I do believe that two movies from Steve Carell will manage to be in the top five.  It is also possible that Inception retains its first place spot for a third week in a row.    Let me know what you think:

Weekend Box Office For 7/16-7/18

The weekend has come and gone once again and this time we’re finally seeing something interesting.  People are speaking with their wallets this summer, to hollywood that they are tired of the retreaded remakes and sequels along with unoriginal ideas that have all infected hollywood for too long.  They spoke this weekend with their pockets going to see a movie that no one thought would pull in much money, just to show hollywood that it is time again to take risks on new original properties and stop with the remakes and retreds, to try to put something original out in the theaters.   Perhaps Hollywood will listen but my guess would be that we’re still going to see a lot of remakes and sequels over the next few years.

This weekend Inception came out to rave reviews and on top of that people actually went out and saw the movie as well and word of mouth spread to their friends saying how good the movie was.  Inception is from Christopher Nolan (The Dark Knight) and the speculation was that despite how good it was no one was going to go see it because it was so full of big ideas about dreams and the idea behind the film of being able to go into another person’s dreams is treated like a heist movie but at the same time it has a deeper more broad story and is probably one of the best films that Leonardo DiCaprio has done.    The movie was either going to be a hit or it was going to do so little at the theaters that it was going to be confirmed that Nolan’s only successful movies would be his batman movies.  Instead Inception showed its legs this weekend, pulling in an estimated 60.4 million for the weekend, easily taking first place.   Proving that people want original ideas and that really good ideas will always translate into good returns with people going out to the theaters to see the movie.

Coming in at second place the Steve Carell starring movie Despicable Me another original property with a really good story and some heartwarming moments managed to pull in another 32.7 million at the box office bringing its two weekend total up to 118 million which puts the movie on a good pace to pull in over 200 million at the box office.   In third place showing once again that people aren’t interested in half-baked ideas with generic characters and ideas is The Sorcerer’s Apprentice which managed to pull in 17.3 million not coming anywhere near what Disney thought it would do.   Like Prince of Persia another Bruckheimer production that came out earlier this summer Apprentice looked like a fun movie but ultimately it’s just their attempt to cash in on the whole Harry Potter thing and it failed because it looked only like half of an idea instead of a full idea.  People are tired of seeing movies like this and they are tired of seeing Bruckheimer’s ideas translated to the big screen, maybe Disney will get that now and step back from just making every movie the man and his production company brings to them.   After all they have two failed movies at the box office this summer.

In fourth Twilight: Eclipse managed to bring in another 13.5 million bringing its total closer to 300 million. Twilight is a big property for Summit Entertainment and they only have one more movie (its being split into two parts) before the saga is over, which is actually a good thing because they don’t have to worry about people getting tired of it before the final film comes out.   They have actually been really smart putting these movies out one year apart from one another before the trend of vampires wears on people and they are no longer interested.  In at fifth Toy Story 3 managed another 11.7 million bringing its five weekend total 362 million nearly 400 million which it will reach before the summer is over.

Rounding out the top ten in at number six was Grown Ups the Adam Sandler family comedy has done surprisingly well and was entertaining to all but critics of course.   Grown Ups after this weekend has managed to pull in 129 million making almost twice as much as its budget.  At number seven The Last Airbender which has crossed the 100 million mark but its been out for three weekends now and still hasn’t made back its budget.  It will make it back before leaving theaters but just barely.   I don’t think we’ll be getting a sequel even if M Night seems to think he’ll be making two more.   In at number eight was Predators the Adrien Brody starring film was really good with a tight script and quick-moving pace, it was enjoyable and I quite liked it and hope for a sequel.  It managed to pull in another 6 million this weekend bringing its two weekend total up to 40 million which means its made its budget back already.  In at nine Knight and Day which stars Tom Cruise and Cameron Diaz, came in with another 3.7 million, the movie has no hope of being a success and word is out that Tom Cruise’s next big movie Mission Impossible IV will be re-written to bring in a younger hot star that he will be mentoring.   At number 10 The Karate Kid which will be getting a sequel in a few years there is no doubt as the movie has managed to pull in 170 million at the box office during its run.

Next Week is a hard one to call, two new movies come out: Ramona and Beezus about two sisters and the movie does look like family fun although its hard to say how well its going to do.   It does star Selma Gomez who is a hot tween property right now so I know that will help attract an audience to see the movie.   Also coming out is the Angelina Jolie movie Salt personally I don’t see this movie tracking very well, it does look interesting but I barely was even aware it was coming out and I love watching movies and their trailers.  I have only seen trailers for this film on-line and in a few television spots, I have never seen a trailer for it in theaters, not a good sign.  Here is how I think the weekend will stack up:

  1. Inception- 40 to 50 million (word of mouth is going to help this movie immensely)
  2. Ramona and Beezus– 30 to 40 million ( never underestimate the power of kids.)
  3. Despicable Me– 20 to 30 million (see above)
  4. Salt- maybe close to 20 million
  5. Sorcerer’s Apprentice– 15 million or less.

Let me know what you think by taking this fun poll:

August Movie Release Preview 2010

It is almost time for the final month of the summer, only a few weeks of July remain and I think its high time we set August into preview and remember that the closing month of Summer is usually a slower month than the months of June and July.   July is already closing out with a slow week so lets see how August looks!

Weekend of August 6-8

The Other Guys-Opening August 6th nationwide

The Other Guys centers around two cops named Allen (Will Ferrell) and Terry (Mark Wahlberg) who are basically the kind of cops that you don’t usually see in movies.  They are two regular cops who mainly sit behind the desk and are over shadowed by the two biggest and most impressive cops in the precinct, Highsmith (Samuel Jackson) and Danson (Dwayne ‘the rock’ Johnson) who are everything that you are used to a cop being when watching a cop movie.   What happens is a shake up and the two regular cops both suddenly are caught up in something and have to take care of business like a badass cop instead of the kind of cops that they both usually are.

Starring: Will Farrell, Mark Wahlberg, Samuel L. Jackson, Dwayne ‘The Rock’ Johnson, Michael Keaton, and Lindsay Sloane

Directed by: Adam McKay

Opening Weekend Box Office Draw: The week before this movie comes out we get the release of another comedy for adults: Dinner for Schmucks so its hard to say how well this movie will draw.  The good thing going for this movie is that there hasn’t been a cop comedy this summer and there isn’t one coming out anywhere near where this one is coming out at.   Another good thing going for this movie is it looks like both Will Farrell and Adam McKay are back to their form from Talladega Nights instead of the horrendous and forgettable Step-Brothers (which they should not have promoted at all in the trailers).  Another good thing going for The Other Guys is that it is coming out against the joke that is Step Up 3-D.

Opening Weekend Gross: 40 to 50 million more than likely this will be the biggest movie of the weekend, drawing in a nice crowd of those that want to go see a laugh…unless people want to see the other release for a different kind of laugh.

Step Up 3-D Opening July 6th Nationwide in 3-D

The first time I heard of the movie Step Up I thought it might be interesting and fun, and the movie was a decent film about dancing and the art of street dancing.   Of course it did a lot of money and thus it got a sequel and now another Step-Up movie is about to come out and all because well 3-D is the hot thing and why not make a 3-D dance movie about a tough gang of street dancers who happen to live in New York.  If the rehashed plot from the first and second Step Up movies about a group of people who have to Dance to save their lives or resolve their personal problems is to your liking then I am sure you will enjoy this movie and all that it has to offer.  Of course there is also the possibility that you just can’t resist 3-D films and thus you want to see a dance movie 3-D film.   Personally this movie looks like someone is playing a joke…just like the Cats and Dogs movie from July.

Starring: Alyson Stoner, Sharni Vinson, Harry Shum Jr., and Rick Malambri

Directed by: Jon Chu (he directed the second one too fyi)

Opening Box Office Draw: Personally this movie is a dud, but I am trying to look at this towards the audience that it is trying to attract.   This movie has a good shot of attracting mainly teen and preteen girls that like fast-moving dance films and even some boys perhaps as well.  Its got the appearance of gritty and thus some of them will be drawn to it thinking it is the next hot thing out there, plus its in 3-D which means its got to be at least partly interesting.  This movie will attract teeny-boppers to it and even some people who just like dancing in their films.

Opening Weekend Gross: 30 to 40 million, and this will be mainly because the movie is in 3-D and there will be enough draw of people who liked the first two as well.

Weekend of August 13-15

Eat Pray Love-Opening August 13th nationwide

This is the first Julia Roberts movie that I have wanted to see in a while.   The movie basically deals with a woman who one day realizes that her life is anything but full of meaning other than who she is with and why she is with them.   She decides to set out on a quest, spend a year traveling and just learning about the world and also herself at the same time.    The story looks interesting and the best thing is it looks like Julia Roberts is back to doing the kind of character that she does really well once more.   Its not the kind of movie that I see in theaters, but I am interested in seeing it once it comes out on dvd just because it looks like a movie with real heart and soul.    The film is going to attract people just because it has Julia Roberts, but like The Other Guys in the week before this movie knows where its audience is and is pushing itself towards them.

Starring: Julia Roberts, James Franco, Billy Crudup, and Richard Jenkins

Directed by: Ryan Murphy

Opening Weekend Box Office Draw: This movie will pull in a lot of women, there is no way to be PC about it, the movie is designed to pull women in to see it and there is nothing wrong with that.   The draw of the film though is simple enough there hasn’t been any romance movies of the type that this one is released all summer and thus this one has a really good potential of drawing in a lot of women to see it and with them will come their boyfriends and husbands.

Opening Weekend Gross: 20 to 35 million.

The Expendables-Opening August 13th nationwide

If there is one thing that Sly Stallone knows its action and this one looks to be a movie full of action and really good action at that.  The Expendables is about a group of mercenaries who get hired to take down a dictator of a third world country, only things don’t go as the thought it would and everything gets more complex once they are over there.  They have to abandon one of their own and things go crazy from there when they learn the truth of what really happened and who set them up.   The trailers show the movie as being one full of action and the best thing of all a bunch of older action stars all once again showing that they can live up their roots of being action stars.  Stallone has shown that he’s not done with action yet and this movie truly does show that he might be able to keep doing it for years to come if he chooses to do so.

Starring: Sylvester Stallone, Jason Statham, Jet Li, Eric Roberts, and Dolph Lundgren

Directed by: Sylvester Stallone

Opening Weekend Box Office Draw: This is one of the slickest looking action movies of the entire summer, it’s going to draw a lot of people in to see it because by the time this one comes out it will have been nearly a month since another action movie has been in theaters and more than that this is one of those big tent pole action films that will draw both younger and older men to see including even boys just because of how much action and crazy things look to be happening in this movie.

Opening Weekend Gross: 30 to 40 million.

Scott Pilgrim Vs. The World-Opening August 13th nationwide

Scott Pilgrim is a young man who finds a really wonderful woman that he’s in love with, the only thing is well….she’s got these ex-boyfriends who won’t let him date her until he proves it to them.   The movie has style and substance, and also all of these strange special effects and video game like atmosphere.   The movie is based after a comic series of course (most original properties in hollywood are now).   The movie looks like it was made for Michael Cera to play and he looks really good in the movie as well.  This summer has shown us a lot of different and strange film but this one is perhaps the strangest of them all.

Starring: Michael Cera, Mary Elizabeth Winstead, Kieran Culkin, Chris Evans, and Brandon Routh

Directed by: Edgard Wright

Opening Weekend Box Office Draw- I would have to say not much, honestly the movie trailer has some really cool substance to it and its very comic like in apperance, but the film is not goign to draw a lot of people.   The trailer is pointed towards one sort of person, and the movie is pointed to that same person.   Scott Pilgrim is not going to be the huge hit that Universal seems to think that it will be and I don’t see it pulling in more than The Expendables and Eat Pray Love so I could be wrong but I don’t think that I am.

Opening Weekend Gross- 20 to 30 million.

Weekend of August 20-22

Lottery Ticket-Opening August 20th nationwide

Lottery Ticket is one of those easily forgettable comedies that come out around this time of the year.   This is where comedies that might do decent get a release date and this one does look like it has some moments that are going to make you laugh and enjoy yourself.  I can’t say there is one type of audience that this movie is directed towards, as it is a comedy that could have a lot of really good moments that will make you laugh out.   The premise behind the movie is that a young man and his mom win the lottery but when he goes to collect the money hilarity ensues because the lottery office is of course closed due to it being July 4th weekend.   Then somehow it gets out that he one the lottery and everyone is out seeking his money.

Starring: Terry Crews, Keith David, Ice Cube, Mike Epps, and Bow Wow

Directed by: Eric White

Opening Weekend Box Office Draw: Movies of this nature (dealing with someone winning the lottery) do okay when they are released but they never really push the envelope and surely never draw but a few people here and there into the theater to watch them.   There is an audience that this movie is speaking towards and that is the audience that will go see the movie.   I don’t think its going to be a huge draw at the box office but it will be big enough to pull into the top five for the weekend.

Opening Weekend Gross: 20 to 30 million.

Nanny McPhee Returns-Opening August 20th nationwide

Never saw the first one, but I got the premise behind the movie and this one the second one has much the same.  Nanny McPhee returns once again to teach some kids that are spoiled and have never had any real fun the true meaning of what it means to be kids and also to be a part of a family.   Strange things happen and you cannot but help compare Nanny McPhee to another famous caretaker of young kids Marry Poppins its hard to say if either of them is based off of the other or not for me but I can see the likes right away when I watch the trailers for this movie.    Nanny McPhee is going to be a really good family movie of that I have no doubt, families will enjoy seeing it but that is about all.

Starring: Emma Thompson, Maggie Smith, Maggie Gyllenhaal, Ewan McGregor, and Ralph Fiennes

Directed by: Susanna White

Opening Weekend Box Office Draw: The movie will draw in families, especially those with young kids.  This is the kind of movie that you can safely take a kid under the age of nine to and not have to worry about missing something if they have to get up to go to the bathroom or if the kids are talking throughout most of the movie or not sitting still.   It will draw in famlies and those that want to take a kid to a film just so that they can be entertained and I am sure that it will be entertaining for them as well.

Opening Weekend Box Office Gross: 20 to 30 million.

Piranha 3-D-Releasing August 20th nationwide

Piranha 3-D is basically a 3-D remake of a classic horror movie released in 1978.  The movie was well-known for its cheese but has become a classic standing cult favorite and thus Hollywood felt it was time for a remake, an updated one with 3-D of course as well.  The premise behind the movie is anything but original but hey its in 3-D so of course scores of people will go out and see it.  What happens is an earthquake releases Piranha’s that are supposed to be extinct but of course they are hungry for….yeah you guessed it….human flesh in 3-D! GASP!  The movie doesn’t look exactly horrible and it has a decent cast so it might end up being  a fun watch but my bet is on it not being a big money-maker though it is coming out at the right time, end of August through October is usually when you have a good shot of making money on horror.

Starring: Elizabeth Shue, Adam Scott, Christopher Lloyd, Richard Dreyfuss, and Eli Roth

Directed by: Alexandre Aja

Opening Weekend Box Office Draw: Depends on how thrilled people are at the chance of seeing another 3-D horror movie.  It is coming out at a good time, there isn’t much else that will get teens and young adults in the theater this weekend and this one could really do it.   It all depends on how people feel about it and if they aren’t tired of seeing movies in 3-D as this one is only coming out on 3-D (I think that’s the plan anyway).

Opening Weekend Gross: 30 to 40 million perhaps less if no one wants a 3-d horror movie or find a sudden interest in something else like Nanny McPhee.

The Switch-Releasing August 20th nationwide

There are some who say that Jennifer Aniston is not a box office draw yet she keeps getting to make movies even though most of her films have done nothing much at all.  This summer she’s getting a second shot this year with the romantic comedy The Swtich which is about a woman who wants to get pregnant and she uses a sperm donor the thing is, the donor’s sperm was replaced with a friends sperm by the friend so that it’s actually his baby that she has.   Yeah it sounds horrible and it looks horrible, but it might draw some in with its quirky plot line and the fact that Jennifer Aniston is starring in it.  Otherwise you might best stay away, like the baby movie earlier this summer with Jennifer Lopez this is another movie that most will just forget even comes out until its been out in theaters for two or three weeks.  They of course say it from the people who brought us Juno, by that they mean the producers that brought us Juno because neither the writer nor the director of the movie are actually involved, it’s just a trick to get people to go see the movie.

Starring: Jennifer Aniston, Jason Bateman, Jeff Goldblum, and Juliette Lewis

Directed by: Josh Gordan and Will Speck

Weekend Box Office Draw: There are three bad signs for this movie and it making any money at all.  The first is that it stars Jennifer Aniston who has not proven at all that she can draw people into the box office lately or ever.   The second is that it is being billed as a movie from the people who brought us Juno as an attempt to get people into seats even though the movie is not written or directed by the people who did Juno.  The third and finale one is always a bad sign: it was directed by two people who also directed the Cave Man show.   I don’t think this movie is going to draw a lot of people in.

Weekend Box Office Gross: 10 to 15 million.

Vampires Suck-Opening August 18th nationwide

The battle for who will suck all of the life out of the vampire craze comes to a final conclusion with the movie Vampires Suck a straight up mash-up of vampire cliché’s and making fun of the Twilight Movies.   The film looks like it’s trying to be funny but doesn’t quite get how to be funny and thus it fails on many fronts.   They are trying to capitalize on the Twilight Saga craze, but on the other side instead of the side that loved the movies.  They are going for the people who hated the twilight films and are trying to be hip with those people by agreeing with them on the fact that the movies are horrible by making their own horrible comedy spoof of the movies.    It’s not really a good idea, but it could finally be the movie that ends the current vampire craze, its only downhill from here.   Trust me.

Starring: Matt Lanter, Ken Jeong, Anneliese van der Pol, and Jenn Proske

Directed by: Jason Friedberg, and Aaron Seltzer

Weekend Box Office Draw: Are you kidding me?  This movie has no draw at all.  Its directed by the same guys who wrote all of the Scary Movie movies, Date Movie, Meet the Spartans, Disaster Movie, and even Spy Hard. It amazes me that these guys still get funding to direct and write these horrible movies.  They stopped being anything other than jokes after the second Scary Movie and they are horrible movies to watch in theaters and do not draw anyone in to see them.  Then again they are cheap to make so they usually make all of their money back.

Weekend Box Office Gross: 5 to 10 million if they are lucky.

Weekend of August 27-29

Going the Distance-Releasing August 27 nationwide

This one is a true romantic Comedy that I haven’t seen in a long while, its more focused on the romance and the comedy than most romantic comedy trailers lately.  Its the story of two people who meet one another but she lives half way across the country and was only visiting her sister when she met him.  They fall in love during the two weeks or so that she is there and decide to try long distance dating, thus the name of the movie.   Things happen, the two of them realize they miss one another and thus begins a quest to meet again.   It looks charming and funny plus it has a really good cast.   This one has a good chance of being a good romantic comedy.

Starring: Drew Berrymore, Justin Long, Christina Applegate, and Ron Livingston.

Directed by: Nanette Burstein

Weekend Box Office Draw: the movie looks like it hits all of the right parts quickly and truly does look funny and sweet as well, because of this a lot of people especially couples who want to have a romantic night out will be seeing this one.   It looks like a really good and fun film with a lot of funny moments along with romantic ones.   It will pull people into the box office though I don’t think it will a huge draw.

Weekend Box Office Gross: 25 to 30 million (really good for a romantic comedy)

The Last Exorcism-Opening August 27 nationwide

The Last Exorcism is about a exorcist who goes out to a farm to help a father with his daughter whom the man believes is possessed  by the devil.   The Exorcist is in fact a fake, he’s always faked these things before, but out on this farm with a documentary crew things go terribly wrong, something dark gets called forth and things take a quick turn for the worst for all of them on that farm.  The trailer looks sick (in a good way) and the documentary style of the movie seems to add something more realistic to the movie this time around.  They are really doing a good job of showing the dangers of what can happen during an exorcist and it harkens back to the classic movie The Exorcist in a very good and disturbing way.

Starring: Patrick Fabian, Ashely Bell, and Louis Herthum

Directed by: Daniel Stamm

Opening Weekend Box Office Draw: The time is right, late August, people are tired of the summer block buster season and want to see other kinds of movies, and this is why Horror usually does better in the fall than in the spring when people are starting to get pumped up for more action movies or comedies.   This would have been a good time for Splice to come out, but this weekend we get this one instead.  The movie looks good and I think it will draw in even more people than Piranha from the week before did.

Opening Weekend Gross: 20 to 30 million.

TakersOpening August 27 nationwide

Its the story of a group of men who are all “takers” as one of them points out.  They are bank robbers and work hard at their jobs, but something happens during their latest “take” and they are suddenly in trouble and have to deal with it.    The story is hardly original and while the cast is decent the movie looks like a re-tread of much better bank heist movies that were released years before it.  There is a decent plot though and some of the action looks really tight and interesting, its hard to see how the movie will move along through a short trailer, but doesn’t really hold the attention for very long.

Starring: Hayden Christensen, Paul Walker, Idris Elba, and Matt Dillion

Directed by: John Luessenhop

Weekend Box Office Draw: not very high, it will all depend on how many people want to see another heist movie as opposed to those who just want to see something different.   These types of movies can either do really good or do really poorly.  The last heist movie Armored did not do very good at all, and it looked like a superior movie to this one, though that doesn’t mean this one won’t make a lot of money.   My guess though is that this movie is only going to appeal to some not to all and it’s going to do significantly less than the studio that made it thinks it will do.

Weekend Box office Gross: 10 to 20 million.

That is the month of August, like most months of August its the end of the summer and the blockbuster season is over as kids start to focus on school again and parents start to focus on helping them get ready for school again.  The fun of summer ends and the movie season kicks into one of the two doldrums (the other is late winter/early spring) of the year before another ramp up during the holiday season.   I will be back in August for September…till then keep reading and I’ll keep writing.

Box Office Report for 7/9-7/11

What a weekend with a surprise on top of that.  I usually like being right but this week I will be happy to be wrong because I was also right.  Although I wasn’t fully wrong I came close to what I thought Despicable Me would make, the movie ended up pulling in just a little more than the 60 million that it managed to pull in.   But that’s not what I’m talking what I am talking about is Predators.   The movie pulled in less than I thought it would, but it still managed to finish in the top three even though I thought it would come in fourth.   Now onto the report:

In first place this week was Despicable Me the movie managed to bring in 60.1 million dollars over the weekend which is great news for an animated feature with a small budget.  The movie managed to show that people were ready for another family comedy that the kids could enjoy after having Toy Story 3 out for three weeks.   Despicable Me stars Steve Carell who has yet to not be box office gold in the movies he does.   Recently he was in Date Night which also managed to pull in a lot of money over its run at the theaters.   So Despicable Me will continue that trend.    In second place was Twilight: Eclipse not a real surprise at all considering that this is the big teen movie of the summer, it did drop a huge 48 percent from the week before, but this is understandable when the week before was a four day weekend and it was also released on a Wednesday as well.   The movie is well on its way to a 300 million plus release at the box office and will definitely put the saga in a good place for the last part which is being filmed as two movies.

In at third this week was newcomer Predators with Adrian Brody among others.  The movie has gotten really good word of mouth as being the best movie in the series since the first one with Arnold.   Predators was made relatively cheap as well with a budget of 40 million and I really think it would have made all of that back if it had been released somewhere other than the middle of July.   It managed to pull in 25 million for a third place berth and looks to perhaps retain some of that next weekend though there is tough competition for people’s money then.   In forth came Toy Story 3 which was only down by 27 percent from the week before which means it maintained its audience even though Despicable Me came out.   That brought its weekend total up to 22 million and its box office run is now up to 340 million making it Pixar’s biggest movie released yet.

In fifth falling a full 57 percent from last weekend is the movie with the biggest fall in audience The Last Airbender managed only another 17 million over the three day weekend.  It will make back its entire budget of 150 but that budget probably doesn’t count other costs for the film either, its had to say sometimes with hollywood.   Airbender should have made more money over the weekend but it probably didn’t due to word of mouth from fans of the cartoon series.  Most people who went to see Airbender in the first place were probably fans of the series on Nickelodeon and were disappointed to such a point that they didn’t recommend it and thus it has no one really going to see it.   I doubt a sequel will be greenlit by Paramount and who can really blame them.

Rounding out the top ten we come up with at number six Grown Ups which has pulled in an impressive 111 million over its three weekend run so far, another Adam Sandler movie with a low budget that managed to pull far up beyond that because people like his brand of humor.  In at seven Knight and Day the Tom Cruise and Cameron Diaz movie has done okay at the box office considering it came out during a tough time of the summer.  If I was a Fox executive I would have put Knight and Day out sometime in March or April the returns probably would have been better.  As it stands it has barely managed to pull in 60 million.   In at eight was The Karate Kid which has an astounding total of a 165 million now proving that most everyone was wrong about this one, as it turned out to be a really decent re-imagining of the classic.   Ninth place was The A-Team which has managed to pull in 73 million but has no hope of making back its budget by now.   The thing about A-Team wasn’t that it was a bad movie, it was that it wasn’t good enough to draw people into the theater to see it during the same weekend that The Karate Kid came out.   Rounding out the top ten once again was Cyrus a low budget movie that has made most of its budget back.

It was all in all another impressive week at the box office.  All we needed was something to kick start the box office going and we got that with The Karate Kid since then the box office has not been quiet but loud and thunderous with movie after movie making people go into the theaters.

Next Week looks to continue this trend, two movies coming out look to put people in the theaters, one with magic and the other dealing with dreams and the human mind.   Inception the latter not the former, deals with a man who can enter into people’s minds and alter things and stars Leonardo DiCaprio which usually helps put people in the seats.   Inception is also from Christopher Nolan the man behind The Dark Knight and The Prestige both incredible films that did really well at the box office (Dark Knight especially).  Inception might continue this trend, right now its hard to say for sure.   Also coming out is The Sorcerer’s Apprentice with Nicholas Cage, this one is harder to judge really, the movie looks fantastical and has a lot of really cool special effects in it.  The first early reviews for it have been favorable although not all of them have been great, the movie though could track good just because of who stars in it and who is releasing it.   This is how I think the weekend is going to stack up:

  1. Inception With 60 million (I hope I am right about this but I still get teh feeling i could be wrong.
  2. The Sorcerer’s Apprentice- with 50 million
  3. Despicable Me- with 30 to 40 million
  4. Twilight: Eclipse- with 20 to 30 million
  5. Predators – with 15 to 20 million.

Let me know who you think will finish at number 1 in this handy pole!

Coming later this week: The August Movie Previews!

Box Office Report for 7/2-7/5

First off this is so late because I am on vacation and forgot that I needed to write this up as I haven’t had any time that I could use to write this up in….so I apologize.

The past weekend has come and gone, and its clear that the winner was the one movie that we all knew it would be coming into this thing, Twilight: Eclipse pulled in nearly 84 million for its opening weekend, which included of course the fifth which added an extra day to the weekend, this doesn’t also include the money that the movie managed to pull in on Wed. or Thurs. either.   All together the movie had by monday pulled in nearly a 180 million which shows that a longer stretch of days did not hurt the movie instead it helped.   In fact having Monday counted in with the total from Friday-Sunday helped as well since many people were off on monday and went to see the movie then.

In second place not faring quite as well but still managing to bring in a lot of money over the four-day weekend was The Last Airbender despite the horrible reviews the movie has actually managed to pull in semi-decent numbers and over the four-day weekend it managed nearly 52 million, though it is quickly slipping now as in the past few days it has only managed to pull in another 5 million per day even falling behind Toy Story 3 for the week so far.   Perhaps a lot of bad word of mouth is getting around, my guess is that Airbender does not finish in the top three this coming up weekend.

Meanwhile Toy Story 3 having stiffer competition this week managed to still pull in nearly 45 million at the box office bringing its total close to the 300 million mark, when its all said and done this movie will be one of the highest grossing animated films ever released in theaters.   I am thinking that this weekend will be a retaining of form for Toy Story 3 as well.    Slipping in at fourth place Grown Ups managed to bring in another 26 million making it the most successful family comedy (that is not animated) of the summer so far.   People still like going to see Adam Sandler and his friends do their things which is always a good thing for them, as long as Sandler stays popular his comedies will continue to make money.  Personally I like most of his movies and do eventually plan on seeing this one…just not in theaters.

In at Fifth, Knight and Day managed to keep up bringing in another 14 million over the weekend.  The Tom Cruise starring movie has not performed anywhere near what Fox thought it would and rumors are circulating that this movie’s performance could spell the end of the days for the Mission Impossible series.   Tom Cruise is a really funny guy and he has been really successful all of his career, the problem is well he went a little crazy a few years ago after marrying Katie Holmes and he just hasn’t ever recovered from the crazy persona.  Perhaps a Les Grossman film would do it?   In at sixth place was The Karate Kid with another 11 million this movie is getting a sequel, which is not really surprising considering how well it did at the theater, the question is will all of the original cast return or not.

Rounding out the top ten was The A-Team in seventh, and while it didn’t perform as well as the studio had hopped it has still managed to get in some good laughs and pulled in 70 million in total gross so far.    At number eight was Get him to the Greek another low brow comedy from the guy that brought us Forgetting Sarah Marshall but it has proven that this kind of comedy is always welcome, the movie has managed  a total run of nearly 58 million for its run.   At number nine Shrek pulled in slipping quickly now out of the top ten but the movie has managed 230 million for its run so far.   Ten was taken by a movie I have never heard of called Cyrus, if you want to tell me about it go for it!

Next Weekend is going to be fun to watch, another kids animated movie Despicable Me comes out starring Steve Carrell as a super villain who ends up raising a group of orphaned girls.   THe movie looks like a lot of fun and I think it has a good shot at making some decent money.   Also coming out is Predators which I really really want to see but I don’t think is going to make a whole lot of money, I could be wrong but I am tracking it for less than 40 million.    This is how I think the weekend will shape up:

  1. Despicable Me with around 70 million (it is coming out in 3-d)
  2. Twilight: Eclipse with around 60  million (perhaps more if some that already saw it want to see it again)
  3. Toy Story 3 with around 40 million
  4. Predators with around 40 million (these two slots are interchangeable really.)
  5. The Last Airbender with around 30 million.

I could be way off here, for all I know there might be an 80 million dollar movie in there somewhere, but I don’t see it really.  Movies like Predators don’t usually pull in big numbers over a weekend, and 3-d animated films seem to be all the rage this summer.   We shall just have to wait and see if Predators can pull it out and call me out for being wrong!

What do you think:

Holiday Box Office Early Report

The numbers are in for Twilight: Eclipse‘s first day of release, Wednesday , and also for its second day at the box office Thursday along with the official release numbers for The Last Airbender as well.  Since I last posted about this weekend it was looking like Last Airbender had a real shot at being a real contender for first place, now I am pretty sure that my original judgments on the movie might end up coming true instead.    My predictions from my Box Office preview had Last Airbender coming in at around 40-50 million for its opening weekend, while I put Eclipse in at more than 100 million but then again Eclipse gets an extra day this holiday weekend over Airbender not that it really matters when it comes down to what the final totals will be.

M. Night’s first movie in the Airbender trilogy (planned probably will not get made) is tracking over at Rotten Tomatoes with an 8% from reviewers, that means that the movie has been critically slammed by most everyone and M. Night needed a good movie this time around.  Most of the reviewers all agree that the movie is stylistically beautiful, but in the end horrible acting and scripting ruin what could have been a really epic first opening.   This doesn’t mean that the movie wouldn’t make money, but there are people leaving theaters posting on their twitter and Facebook pages about how laughable the movie is and how horrible it is as well.   I have read a few reviews but this one from /film struck with me more than the others.  Though some do like it don’t get me wrong and I still intend on seeing it after my vacation or on it perhaps who knows.   The point is Last Airbender will probably not pull in over 60 million over the weekend even with it being a long one.   While Eclipse will pull in at least a 100 million if not more during its first weekend run.

Airbender did manage to pull in 16 million in its opening day including midnight showings but that’s not really a very encouraging number when you consider that Twilight did 68 million on its opening day including midnight showings.  This is not a good sign of the staying power of a movie that has a rumored budget of over 200 million (we will know for sure later this week).   The studio execs are no doubt shaking their heads now wondering what they did wrong (beside putting it out at the same time as Twilight).   Personally I don’t think the movie is going to be as horrible as some of the reviewers say that it is, but being a fan of the cartoon that it was based after I have a feeling that I will feel cheated like so many others did after seeing it.

If the trends continue Airbender will finish the week in second place with 50 to 60 million, but if word of mouth is really as bad as it seems to be so far then it will dip below 50 million and fall behind Toy Story 3 to finish in third place instead of in second.   Either way its going to be difficult for anyone to say that this movie is a successful undertaking for Paramount and it’s just another misstep this summer season like so many others before it, Robin Hood and Prince of Persia which were both movies considered to be big news that would bring in big money for the studios and did nothing near what was predicted.   Its been a bad summer for movies except for a few tent pole sequels which were guaranteed to make money already anyway.  Nothing really original has been successful this summer, its been the summer of sequels so far and that’s a shame, but when studios put out only mediocre products it’s not surprising.

I will be back on Monday with the final results when we know how this all plays out.